Share

Ubernet, the new internet in 2025

ByÁngel Bonet- 23 / 04 / 2014

The world is quickly moving toward ubiquitous connectivity, which will have a greater impact on how and where people associate with each other, meet and share information and consume communication media. A poll of 2,558 experts from around the world regarding where we will be in 2025 shows interesting patterns in their predictions. The people interviewed where identified in a preliminary investigation about the future of the Internet, from those identified by the Pew Research Center's Internet Project at the beginning of 2014.

In their responses, experts foresee easy access to universal Internet and most people will use it as if it flowed through their lives like electricity. We will be mobile, portable, and the embedded information will link the Internet of things, allowing people and their surroundings to make the most of improved artificial intelligence storage based on the cloud of information and its exchange. As Dan Lynch, founder of the Interop and former director of computing facilities at SRI International, wrote: "The most useful impact is the ability to connect people. From there on, everything else flows".

Most experts are in favor of the change in technology that is ahead of us, even though they may not be in favor of its implications. Most believe that there will be:
◾ An invisible global immersion, a network built on the continuous proliferation of intelligent sensors, cameras, software, databases and mass data centers in a web of information, covering a world known as the Internet of Things.
◾ Improvements in "augmented reality" that will lead to a real world that people perceive via the use of portable technologies.
◾ The alteration to the business models established in the 20th century (above all it will affect finance, entertainment, all kinds of editors, healthcare and education).
◾ Tagging, databasing and intelligent analytical mapping of the physical and socials realms.

These experts expect the positive and negative trends that exist now to be extended and increased over the next decade, revolutionizing the most human interaction, which, in particular, will affect health, education, work, politics, economy and entertainment. Most agree that the results of this connectivity will be mainly positive. However, when they were asked to describe the positive and negative aspects of the future they foresee, many experts can also clearly identify the areas of interest, some of them very threatening. The greatest concern is for interpersonal ethics, surveillance, terror and crime, that society may end up questioning the best way to establish security and trust, at the same time as preserving civil liberties.

In general, these predictions from the experts can be grouped into 15 theses:

  1. The exchange of information via the Internet will be easy and will be so woven into everyday life that it will be invisible, like electricity, often through non-human intermediaries.
  2. Internet dissemination will improve global connectivity which will result in more planetary relationships and less ignorance.
  3. The Internet of things, artificial intelligence and the Big Data will make people less conscious of their world and of their own behavior.
  4. Augmented reality and portable devices will be implemented to monitor and give rapid feedback in everyday life, especially with regard to personal health.
  5. Awareness and political action will benefit and proliferate more peaceful changes and public uprisings, such as the Arab Spring.
  6. The spread of the 'Ubernet' will diminish the significance of borders, and new "nations" that have a shared interest may arise and exist beyond the capacity of current State-nation.
  7. The Internet will become "the Internets" and principles will be renegotiated.
  8. An Internet revolution in education will extend and provide more opportunities, with less money spent on real estate and teachers.
  9. Dangerous divisions between those that have and those that can't digitally expand will lead to resentment and possible violence.
  10. Digital abuse and abusers will 'evolve and expand'. Human nature will make us change: laziness, bullying, harassment, pornography, dirty tricks, crime, and those who practice them will have new ways of making life miserable for others.
  11. Pressured by these changes, governments and companies will try to assert power - and will sometimes succeed - by invoked security and cultural norms.
  12. People will continue - sometimes grudgingly - to make concessions in favor of the perceived convenience and immediate benefits on privacy; and privacy is something that only the rich will enjoy.
  13. Human beings and their current organizations will not be able to respond quickly enough to the challenges presented by the complex networks.
  14. Most people still aren't aware of the profound changes that are taking place in today's communication networks, or those that have already taken place; these networks will be even more disruptive in the future.
  15. These necessary predictions may make a difference; "The best way to predict the future is to invent it".

"The greatest impact to the world will be universal access to all human knowledge. The most intelligent person in the world in the future may be someone who is standing behind a plow in India or China right now. That person's access to knowledge -and the millions of people like him or her- will have a huge impact on the development of the human race. Cheap mobile devices will be available throughout the world, and educational tools, such as the Khan Academy, will also be available to all. This will have a huge impact on literacy and numeracy and will lead to a more informed and educated global population." - Hal Varian, chief economist at Google.

Without a doubt, the change from 20% of the population being connected to the internet now to more than 50% in just 10 years will result in an unparalleled knowledge and industrial revolution. The digital revolution is only just beginning......